Federal Budget: What it means for you
Financial, Research Insights John Hockey Financial, Research Insights John Hockey

Federal Budget: What it means for you

Workers, small business owners, first home buyers and rugby league players in Papua New Guinea are among the winners of this year’s historic Federal Budget, however, Baby Boomers, wealthy families and property investors are among the losers with Treasurer Jim Chalmers announcing major changes to negative gearing, capital gains tax and discretionary trusts on Tuesday night.

This summary provides a high-level look at key measures in the Albanese Government’s fifth Budget and what they mean for you.

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End of Financial Year planning tips: give your finances a boost
Financial, Research Insights John Hockey Financial, Research Insights John Hockey

End of Financial Year planning tips: give your finances a boost

With the End of Financial Year (EOFY) fast approaching, now is a great time to review your personal finances and, where relevant, take action before 30 June. A few timely steps could give your finances a much needed boost. Below are several EOFY planning tips worth considering. Depending on your circumstances, they may help reduce tax and build or protect your wealth.

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Research Insights | Market Commentary August 2025
Financial, Research Insights John Hockey Financial, Research Insights John Hockey

Research Insights | Market Commentary August 2025

In August, financial markets continued onwards and upwards. A weaker than expected US Non-Farm Payrolls release at the beginning of August saw non-farm payrolls growth of 73,000 in July. In addition, the June and May totals were revised sharply lower, down by a combined 258,000 from previously announced levels. The weaker than expected release combined with substantial revisions resulted in US President Donald Trump firing the Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Erika McEntarfer.

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Research Insights | Market Commentary April 2025
Financial, Research Insights John Hockey Financial, Research Insights John Hockey

Research Insights | Market Commentary April 2025

The focal point for investment markets during April was US President Donald Trump’s announcement of tariffs on 2nd April. In the announcement he proposed a 10% tariff on essentially all imports, with steeper rates for major trading partners such as China (34% on top of existing 20% tariffs) and the European Union (20%). In addition, a 25% tariff on all foreign made cars and auto parts was announced in an effort to reset US trade deficits and re-invigorate US manufacturing. Later in the month President Trump suspended many of the announced tariffs for 90 days to allow time for negotiations and greater consideration.

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Research Insights | Market Commentary March 2025
Financial, Research Insights John Hockey Financial, Research Insights John Hockey

Research Insights | Market Commentary March 2025

Risk off was the pervading theme during March. Investor concern regarding the announcement of US tariffs in early April and their impact on global economic activity undermined investor confidence. An increasingly uncertain economic backdrop led investors to re-calibrate their views of future risks and focus on equity market valuations. In addition, an Australian federal election was called for 3rd May in a race that appears too close to call at this stage

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Research Insights | Market Commentary February 2025
Financial, Research Insights John Hockey Financial, Research Insights John Hockey

Research Insights | Market Commentary February 2025

The positive sentiment that propelled investment markets in January dissipated in February. The threat of tariffs on Mexico, Canada and China by the United States together with valuation concerns for mega-cap technology companies following announcements by DeepSeek in January and rising risks of stagflation all contributed to the more circumspect stance of investors.

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Research Insights | Market Commentary December 2024
Financial, Research Insights John Hockey Financial, Research Insights John Hockey

Research Insights | Market Commentary December 2024

Investors adopted a more cautious stance in December after November’s equity market rally in response to a Trump victory in the US Presidential Election. The major contributing factor to the more circumspect positioning of investors in December was the US Federal Reserve. In December the US Federal Reserve continued to lower cash rates with a cut of 25 bps that now sees the target cash rate move to a 4.25%-4.50% range. This move was widely anticipated by investors. The surprise for investors was that the US Federal Reserve’s new median rate projection for 2025 indicated just two 25 bps cuts for the year – down from four 25 bps cuts in September.

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Research Insights | Market Commentary November 2024
Financial, Research Insights John Hockey Financial, Research Insights John Hockey

Research Insights | Market Commentary November 2024

In November all eyes (and markets) were focused on the US election, and with a Trump win it set the tone for a rally in developed markets. US equities posted a strong gain of 6% in USD terms with all sectors and market captilisations up. Asian equities faired worse as the potential tariffs on Chinese exports into the United States saw Asian equities and, in particular Chinese equities, sell off on negative sentiment.

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Research Insights | Market Commentary September 2024
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Research Insights | Market Commentary September 2024

In September, the US Federal Reserve cut the US Fed Funds rate by 0.5% to 4.75-5.00%. US inflation appears to be under control with August data revealing US inflation at an annualised rate of 2.5% p.a. much lower than the 9% p.a. peak seen in 2022. US employment whilst resilient has softened, justifying a more accommodative monetary policy stance. The European Central Bank also cut rates in the month by 25bps to 3.50% following on from their previous 25bps cut in June due to falling inflation and slower economic growth.

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Research Insights | Market Commentary August 2024
Financial, Research Insights John Hockey Financial, Research Insights John Hockey

Research Insights | Market Commentary August 2024

In early August markets were volatile as almost simultaneously the Bank of Japan hiked interest rates at the same time as US employment data was released showing that payrolls softened. This led to the Japanese currency strengthening versus the US Dollar which in turn saw Japanese equity markets fall by over 20% in a day and US technology stocks sell off as the unwinding of the infamous “carry trade” occurred. However, by month end markets were little changed as fears of a massive unwinding of the carry trade dissipated.

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Research Insights | Market Commentary May 2024
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Research Insights | Market Commentary May 2024

In May US inflation for the year to April was released with the annual rate of inflation falling to 3.4% (down from 3.5% the previous month) which is still much higher than the US Federal Reserve’s targeted 2% inflation rate. Despite the higher inflation print bond yields, or to put it another way, the expected future cash rates fell assisting US equity valuations.

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Research Insights | Market Commentary April 2024
Financial, Research Insights John Hockey Financial, Research Insights John Hockey

Research Insights | Market Commentary April 2024

In April equity markets reflected a change to valuations as the likelihood of cash rate cuts in 2024 lessened and investors began to factor in a “higher for longer” interest rate backdrop. Broadly speaking international and Australian equity markets were weaker by around 3% and Australian Real Estate Investment Trusts (AREITs) after rising by 10% in March sold off by 8% in April, reflecting the higher for longer bond rate thematic.

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